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homelab/scripts/ci/choose-model.sh
claude-botandClaude Fable 5.1 25f09e9b52
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ci(pick-model): newest among comparable candidates, policy in code
First live pick after #893 chose claude-sonnet-4-5 at 0.23 over
claude-sonnet-4-6: same-family models split the probability for a
mid-weight task, and "prefer newer" is a policy, not a judgment. New
scripts/ci/choose-model.sh applies it to the distribution: among
candidates within CHOOSE_MODEL_MARGIN (0.7) of the best probability the
most recently released wins; a clear best stays; NONE yields nothing.
The picker logs the top probabilities. Four policy tests added.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-09-21 09:59:40 +02:00

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#!/bin/sh
# Turn the TypeSafe picker's probability distribution into one model id.
#
# The judgment (how well each catalog model fits the task) comes from the
# model; the policy lives here, in code: among the candidates whose probability
# is within MARGIN of the best one, take the most recently released. Several
# same-family models (Sonnet 4.5 / 4.6 / 5) split the probability for a
# mid-weight task, and the newest of a comparable set is the one to run.
#
# Usage: choose-model.sh <catalog-table-file> < <systemone-response.json>
# The table is fetch-models.sh --table output: id \t name \t released=YYYY-MM-DD ...
# Prints the chosen id, or nothing when the answer is NONE / unusable.
# Env: CHOOSE_MODEL_MARGIN (default 0.7): candidate if p >= MARGIN * p_best.
set -eu
TABLE_FILE="${1:?usage: choose-model.sh <catalog-table-file> < response.json}"
MARGIN="${CHOOSE_MODEL_MARGIN:-0.7}"
jq -r --rawfile table "$TABLE_FILE" --argjson margin "$MARGIN" '
($table | split("\n") | map(select(length > 0) | split("\t")
| {key: .[0], value: ((.[2:] | map(select(startswith("released="))) | .[0] // "released=") | ltrimstr("released="))})
| from_entries) as $released
| (.answers.model.probabilities // {}) | to_entries
| map(select(.key != "NONE")) | sort_by(-.value)
| if length == 0 then empty
else (.[0].value) as $best
| map(select(.value >= $margin * $best))
| sort_by([($released[.key] // ""), .value])
| .[-1].key
end' 2>&1